World Cup 2026 · Complete — Champions: 🇪🇸 Spain · this edition is now a permanent retrospective
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2026-06-11

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Tournament complete

🏆 🇪🇸 Spain are world champions

Spain beat Argentina 1–0 in the final — England took third, 6–4 over France. All 104 matches tracked live, forecast pre-kickoff, and graded in public.

The final →The bracket →How the model did →The Model Lab →
Daily Intelligence Briefing

Spain lead the title race through the closing stages

Spain remain the model's favourites at 100.0% to lift the trophy, 100.0% clear of Belgium. Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot race on 10, projected to finish on 12.8. The most emphatic result of the last few days: England 6-4 France. Spain defying the odds, climbing the model's board against the pre-tournament market.

Spain — 100.0% to win itGolden Boot: Kylian Mbappé on 10Recent rout: England 6-4 FranceSpain defying the odds
1/10

Teams

0

12 groups

Matches played

0

104 total

Goals

0

2.96 / match

Total xG

0.0

0.35 / team

How it ended

The deciding matches

All matches
FinalFT
🇪🇸Spain1
🇦🇷Argentina0

MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford

Third-place Play-offFT
🇫🇷France4
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England6

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Garden · Miami

Semi-finalFT
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England1
🇦🇷Argentina2

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta

Semi-finalFT
🇫🇷France0
🇪🇸Spain2

Dallas Stadium · Arlington

Quarter-finalFT
🇦🇷Argentina3
🇨🇭Switzerland1

Arrowhead Stadium · Kansas City

Quarter-finalFT
🇳🇴Norway1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England2

Hard Rock Stadium · Miami

The title race, settled

Pre-tournament odds → where they finished

Predictions
🇪🇸Spainwas 10.5% pre-tournament🏆 Champions
🇦🇷Argentinawas 13.0% pre-tournamentRunners-up
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Englandwas 9.0% pre-tournamentThird
🇫🇷Francewas 11.0% pre-tournamentFourth

Power Rankings

Top 5

  1. 1🇪🇸Spain100
  2. 2🇦🇷Argentina100
  3. 3🇫🇷France100
  4. 4🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England95.6
  5. 5🇧🇷Brazil49.2
Full power table →

Golden Boot Race

Goals → projected

  1. 1Kylian Mbappé10→ 12.8
  2. 2Lionel Messi8→ 11.1
  3. 3Erling Haaland7→ 9.2
  4. 4Jude Bellingham7→ 8.9
  5. 5Harry Kane6→ 7.8

AI Insights

Auto-detected stories

  • Ferran Torres strikes late for Spain

    Ferran Torres struck a 106' winner for Spain against Argentina — the standout late goal of the tournament.

  • Spain defying the odds

    Spain's title probability has climbed to 100.0%, up 89.5% on the pre-tournament market. They reach the semi-finals in 100.0% of simulations.

  • Kylian Mbappé is out in front for the Golden Boot

    Kylian Mbappé tops the scoring charts with 10 goals and is projected to finish on 12.8, with a 46.5% chance of claiming the Golden Boot. But that run is over — eliminated in the semi-finals.

  • Spain: the tournament's meanest defense

    Spain have conceded just 0 in 3 games with 7 clean sheets — 0.00 goals against per game, the stingiest at the tournament. They went on to win it all.

All insights →